Friday, July 20, 2012

Nifty, USDINR - Elliott Wave Analysis

Nifty
Nifty is sharply down today, if we agree that there is some correlation between Nifty and USDINR, then a sharp decline in USDINR should result in a rise in equities. Now the short term wave count suggests that Dollar may weaken further and in response, equities should rise, that has been my underlying story for a while. Now if this scenario plays out we will see much higher prices, at least we should reach 5630, that's a minimum requirement. The recent price action fits well into a channel, and a break down from this channel, will confirm the 3rd wave down in USDINR.
USDINR

2 comments:

  1. Dear Aniduddha
    please consider the fact that Nifty moved up from 4770 to 5269 which in this period INR was down from 53 to 56
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "if we agree" - That's the catch phrase. I am not a big fan of correlations. I just pointed out common wisdom. But I do feel Nifty should rise, and USDINR should fall.
      Regards
      Aniruddha

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