- USDINR was rising in a rising wedge formation since the 2008 equity market crisis.
- The trend is unmistakable, and strong, but from price extremes come big moves.
- We have a potential for one such scenario playing out, but one must tread cautiously, as the underlying trend can spring back to life without any warning.
- There was a fibo confluence zone around 62 to 60.40, and we seem to have found selling pressure here, indicate towards a pause.
- Oscillators are in OB zone.
- Classical EWP practitioners would feel confident of pattern completion as the pattern preceding the last up leg was a triangle, which according to classical EWP precedes last thrust in the trend.
- There is a broad support zone between 58.92 - 57.30.
- The current OB status on the oscillators suggest prices should recede a bit. MACD is showing negative divergence (not shown on the charts).
- Below 57.30 we may see the larger trend reversing.
- The long standing support TL on RSI, should give an early warning of a reversal if violated.
Good call. Moved pretty close to 62 today.
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