- Soybean futures are at a crucial juncture.
- We saw a stupendous rally last year, and prices touched a high around 5000.
- We are back to the time (sowing season) when there is a supply crunch in the markets and the demand is high.
- Technically speaking, we have a sharp 5 wave rally last year wave [3], preceded by a 5 wave move wave [1], and also followed by a possible 5 wave move in wave [5].
- Of this latest 5 wave move, we have waves (1)-(2)-(3) done, wave (4) is in progress, and hopefully wave (5) should follow.
- Ideally prices should go above the top of wave [3], atleast close to it.
- So once this correction in wave (4) is done, which I feel is quite close to finishing, we should see prices rising.
- Whether we take out the previous high, or fall short of it, I cant tell now, but we should surely get a tradable up move in coming months.
Excellent analysis as usual. A false break of a major trendline points to a 4th wave indeed.
ReplyDeleteOne interesting thing - the pattern of blue (3) top to around blue (4) looks very similar to the pattern of green (3) top to blue (2). Might be insignificant but caught my eyes. :)
Lets see how it actually works out, :)
DeleteI should have mentioned - the blue (3) & (4) of the first pattern are contained in the big green (3).
ReplyDelete