- Today's was a policy day, and we got a move quite fitting with one (so far).
- Now we need some decisive action by market participants to signal us what market possibility will take precedence.
- Today's sharp price move may have just given us the hint.
- There is a very bullish possibility, on the USDINR chart above. I have labelled the recent price contraction as a triangle in wave [c] of B or II.
- In any case a good rally should be expected in either wave C or III.
- A BO above the falling TL should be an early signal of this possible up move.
- For Nifty then we have a bearish scenario on hand. We have been talking about a possibility of a flat correction, and if we are going to get a rally in USDINR, we are likely to get a fall in Nifty.
- It might be the wave C of {II}, and may target the terminus of wave A.
- Now that comes around 4530, but this is also a very large fractal, what pattern actually plays out will take a long time to clear. And between now and 4530 there are about a million possibilities.
- All I would say, is there is a bearish possibility in the equity markets, in coming days.
- The support area of 5600-5500 should provide further clues.
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